In Late-Q3, local Ontario markets logged 1.1K home sales as activity moderated, while sale prices varied by location, underscoring localized conditions for buyers and sellers.
In one Ontario county, 138 home sales closed at a ~$516K avg. price, alongside 442 new listings and 979 active listings during Late-Q3.
Another Ontario county held steady at 118 sales, while its avg. price eased to ~$635K and homes typically took 60 days to sell.
A third Ontario county had 31 sales, but pricing strengthened to ~$857K, with MoM gains near 27% and yearly gains near 8%.
Industry leaders said these differences showed Ontario housing stayed deeply local, making market specific guidance important and keeping housing issues visible during municipal election season.
Author: Anita Shumlick B.A.
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Ontario Real Estate Sales Slow
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Oakville Market Tilts Toward Buyers
Single-family avg. price ↓~2% yearly to $1.86M, while condo, co-op, and linked homes ↓~6% to $865K in Oakville, showing softer current pricing overall.
Single-family sales ↑~19% to 929, but condo, co-op, and linked-property sales ↓~11% to 636; listings also tightened recently across both segments in Oakville.
Oakville stayed balanced with a slight buyer tilt: ~5 mo of inventory gave negotiating room, though saving a down payment remained the top hurdle.
An industry leader said a tax rebate improved affordability, drew buyers and investors, boosted new construction interest, and pressured comparable resale pricing most in condos.
For the rest of 2026, avg. sale prices are expected to stay flat or ↑~1% versus 2025, while sales are expected to ↑~3% in Oakville. -
Oakville Housing Market Outlook (Fall 2026)
The average sale price for single-family homes in Oakville fell 2% to $1,857,471, while condo and linked property prices dropped 5.7% to $865,313. Single-family home sales rose 19.1%, but condo sales declined 10.5%. Listings decreased in both segments. The market is balanced with a slight buyer advantage, stable prices, and increased sales expected. Affordability challenges remain for first-time buyers, with the HST rebate boosting new construction interest and investor activity.
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Ontario’s $130K HST rebate absorbs tariff costs as GTA single-family home sales hit 47% above the 10-year average
Ontario's residential construction sector shows resilience due to strong demand for new single-family homes, supported by tax incentives that reduce or eliminate HST on new builds up to $1.5 million, offering savings up to $130,000. This offsets rising costs from trade tariffs on materials. GTA single-family home sales in August rose 47% above the decade average, with prices down 14.6% annually before rebates. Multi-family high-rise sales lag due to tax incentive timing rules. The sector supports 256,000 jobs and $39.3 billion in investment, aiding economic stability amid trade disruptions.
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Leaving your mortgage renewal too late narrows your options
Homeowners approaching mortgage renewal should start the process months in advance to avoid limited options and higher costs. Fixed rates have risen, with many facing payment increases around 20%. Early preparation allows securing rate holds, gathering financial documents, and comparing options beyond just rates, including prepayment privileges and penalties. Waiting too long may force rushed decisions and less favorable terms.
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Burlington Home Prices Ease 3%: What Buyers and Sellers Should Know
Burlington’s median sale price was $840,600 in September 2026, representing a 3% decline compared with the same month last year. This points to modest year-over-year softening in home prices, giving buyers and sellers a market signal worth watching.
For buyers, a slightly less heated market may create more opportunities to compare properties carefully, negotiate terms, and make decisions without the same pressure seen during stronger price-growth periods. Preparation remains essential, including mortgage approval, a clear budget, and a defined list of priorities.
Sellers should focus on accurate, current pricing rather than relying on older market highs. A well-presented home, realistic asking price, and thoughtful marketing strategy can help attract qualified buyers while limiting time on market.
Every neighbourhood and property type can perform differently, so broad statistics are only a starting point. Contact me for a Burlington-specific market analysis and a personalized plan for your next real estate move.
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Inflation climbs, home sales rise: what it all means for Canadian borrowers
Canada's inflation rose to 3% due to higher oil prices, but the Bank of Canada is expected to hold interest rates steady next month. Variable mortgage rates likely remain stable, while fixed rates face uncertainty. Home sales and prices are rising, signaling a positive housing market outlook. A potential US-Canada trade deal and reduced tariff threats could boost market confidence and encourage more homebuyers, especially first-timers.
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Ontario Homes Are Taking Longer to Sell
By Q2 2026, avg. days on market had increased yearly across home types in Southern Ontario, marking a slower pace than the 2022 peak.
Condos took longest to sell in Q2 2026, averaging 36 days versus ~32 in Q2 2025, while elevated inventory gave buyers more negotiating room.
Single-family homes moved faster than condos: semi-detached averaged 20 days, detached 25, and townhouses ~24, with townhouses showing the smallest yearly increase.
An economist said townhouses appeared more resilient because they appealed to downsizers and first-time buyers seeking an option between detached homes and condos.
The contrast was sharp: at the Early-Q1 2022 peak, detached homes sold in nine days, while semi-detached homes and townhouses took ~1 week. -
Mortgage Rates Face a New Reality
Canadian borrowers could continue facing affordability pressure as borrowing costs remain elevated and economic uncertainty shapes the housing market.
Rate relief could improve affordability, but its impact will depend on inflation, economic conditions, and the Bank of Canada’s policy path.
Buyers may remain cautious, while higher financing costs continue influencing purchasing power, refinancing decisions, and overall housing demand.
For borrowers and investors, planning around current financing conditions remains important rather than relying entirely on future rate declines. -
Oakville – Most Expensive Homes of September 2026
Oakville — Most Expensive homes for September 2026.
Listings (sorted by price):
1. Listing W13030806 — $23,980,000
2. Listing W13728088 — $15,900,000
3. Listing 40809997 — $13,500,000
4. Listing 40857885 — $13,500,000
5. Listing W13723478 — $13,500,000
6. Listing 40838815 — $12,000,000
7. Listing W13475920 — $12,000,000
8. Listing W13754954 — $10,950,000
9. Listing W13430514 — $10,900,000
10. Listing W13738344 — $10,900,000
11. Listing W13448452 — $10,880,000
12. Listing 40857946 — $9,995,000
13. Listing W13707486 — $9,995,000
14. Listing W13765232 — $9,180,000
15. Listing W13643716 — $7,998,000




